As you know...you have heard signs of a colder pattern change coming. I can somewhat agree with that although I think it will be short lived.The NAO/AO are already moderately negative.... I expect our area to end January on a frigid note as a deep trough with accompanied snow drops down into the Southeast. This pattern will be locked in place for at least the first half of Febuary and this will be the coldest around here its been all winter.
With the fading NINA and a pronounced NAO block in the baffin island to greenland location you will get that deep trough here in the united states. With 2-3 winter threats. Enjoy the first half of Febuary because I think the PNA and EPO will start to overwhelm the pattern by Feb 20th.
The old SE ridge will start flexing his muscle then... and that will spring us towards spring weather.
Thats not to say we wont get a bowling ball ULL come rolling out of Texas and produce snow in Late Feb or Early March..but by March the 15th cold winter weather will be all but gone.
Current NAO/AO is heading torwards the tank
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