Tropical season could go out with a bang!!

October is already a historically active month for tropical systems on the east coast ...but this big dome of high pressure that is starting to dominate most of the eastern US just adds more spin and energy to an already cyclonically conducive atmosphere that is the Caribbean and Bahamas.

If you take a look at climatology for this region
you will see that October can be a very active month
for tropical systems when it comes
to the Caribbean...Bahamas..and the East coast

The strong canadian high pressure system has surpressed all the convective energy to the tropical regions of the Bahamas and Caribbean and now models are starting to pick up on this and are suggesting there could be a tropical threat to the SE united states in the form of a Tropical/Subtropical storm or Hurricane.

While this is not out of the norm for this time of year...I am considering this threat to be an abnormally high one and interests along the east coast and down in the island regions should keep this in mind. There has been a high number of powerful landfalling hurricanes during this time of year when looking back in hurricane history in this region...and the middle of this month could provide another for the SE US.

Nothing written in stone yet... but the threat is quite obvious to me and the waters down there are still VERY warm and could provide a large amount of fuel to a tropical cyclone if one were to form in this region. Not only that.... but the pattern has becom supportive of a possible landfall somewhere in the eastern US.