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Saturday, October 1, 2011

Slight warmup on the way and a pattern discussion

If you are needing some nicer weather to get some last minute outdoor work done before the winter..never fear you will get your wish. An upper ridge will take hold on the eastern US later next week and should provide some warmer temps and beautifull bluebird days before the next unsettled cycle swings through.

High temps are looking like upper 70's to near 80 in the southern valley locations....If you dont like the warmer weather... just know that this is part of the grand plan to build a blocking pattern up near greenland...and this blocking pattern will be responsible for blocking the cold air from exiting Canada to the east... and in turn will have to take a path to the south right through our backyards to get around the big block.

You can already see this shaping up if you look at the longrange upper air pattern... the ridging is starting to get more and more pronounced up there... what this will do is start to form a massive troff over the eastern half of the CONUS. At first it wont really be that amplified and you might call it a zonal flow pattern but make no mistake about it...it will amplify by late fall.


Right now we have a pattern simular to this image
and this is called an Omega block...this is were there
are troffs on both coasts of the US
and a big tall ridge near the central US
















This pattern will shift eastward
and put us under the warmer ridge





















By late fall this pattern will shift more eastward
 in response to higher pressures out west and near
Greenland







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